Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 14.788799 17.280595 19.997475 23.171125 26.767540 30.707289 35.340230
2025-02-16 10.187517 13.486412 17.467572 22.582876 28.933480 36.507865 46.169310
2025-02-23 7.597849 11.142297 15.784443 22.211293 30.764888 41.631999 56.335977
2025-03-02 5.964696 9.557937 14.604081 22.038729 32.511046 46.504864 66.337713
2025-03-09 4.802629 8.341006 13.630717 21.862090 34.037899 51.020054 76.039362
2025-03-16 3.652460 6.882530 12.022847 20.462653 33.550210 52.562744 81.611460
2025-03-23 3.194624 6.438141 11.869201 21.177613 36.159411 58.624567 93.923615
2025-03-30 2.875241 6.162912 11.928022 22.196118 39.275192 65.604962 107.993349
2025-04-06 2.375461 5.454456 11.136057 21.687983 39.871414 68.743352 116.431527
2025-04-13 1.892563 4.673817 10.086861 20.582813 39.332345 70.000080 121.965950
2025-04-20 1.755177 4.574620 10.280367 21.694099 42.614413 77.560023 137.848766
2025-04-27 1.667782 4.565958 10.641668 23.139187 46.574667 86.453402 156.344317
2025-05-04 1.441172 4.213312 10.302226 23.291819 48.380266 92.099578 170.276744
2025-05-11 1.222212 3.832295 9.853953 23.196309 49.761075 97.189671 183.742997
2025-05-18 1.025432 3.455468 9.348720 22.912337 50.743627 101.632432 196.363321
2025-05-25 0.869154 3.143743 8.933786 22.753789 51.932246 106.492781 209.958811
2025-06-01 0.736927 2.861978 8.537564 22.575859 53.046561 111.263606 223.636007
2025-06-08 0.568067 2.411993 7.637942 21.137791 51.432932 110.822579 227.892376
2025-06-15 0.517595 2.331465 7.675578 21.873028 54.419373 119.270985 248.811253
2025-06-22 0.483725 2.298953 7.836708 22.920093 58.153850 129.372935 273.288809
2025-06-29 0.401350 2.061150 7.382957 22.397752 58.407393 132.659786 285.130574
2025-07-06 0.315642 1.774153 6.725087 21.261506 57.167700 132.864731 291.080215
2025-07-13 0.300173 1.773276 6.931308 22.404040 61.229281 144.046827 318.770648